Forecasting auroras from regional and global magnetic field measurements

Kauristie, Kirsti; Myllys, Minna; Partamies, Noora; Viljanen, Ari; Peitso, Pyry; Juusola, Liisa; Ahmadzai, Shabana; Singh, Vikramjit; Keil, Ralf; Martinez, Unai; Luginin, Alexej; Glover, Alexi; Navarro, Vicente; Raita, Tero

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/gi-5-253-2016

Articles | Volume 5, issue 1

https://doi.org/10.5194/gi-5-253-2016

© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Special issue:

Multi-disciplinary research and integrated monitoring at the...

https://doi.org/10.5194/gi-5-253-2016

© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Articles | Volume 5, issue 1

Research article

|

28 Jun 2016

Research article |

| 28 Jun 2016

Forecasting auroras from regional and global magnetic field measurements

Kirsti Kauristie, Minna Myllys, Noora Partamies, Ari Viljanen, Pyry Peitso, Liisa Juusola, Shabana Ahmadzai, Vikramjit Singh, Ralf Keil, Unai Martinez, Alexej Luginin, Alexi Glover, Vicente Navarro, and Tero Raita

Data sets

NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center NOAA - The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center, archive of alerts and warnings before 2015 NOAA - The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration http://legacy-www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/archive.html

NOAA OVATION auroral forecast NOAA - The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/aurora-30-minute-forecast

Solar Influences Data Center service in Belgia Royal Observatory of Belgium http://sidc.oma.be/

The Auroral forecast service at Kjell Henriksen Observatory (Svalbard, Norway) F. Sigernes, M. Dyrland, P. Brekke, S. Chernouss, D. Lorentzen, K. Oksavik, and C. Deehr http://kho.unis.no

The AurorasNow! Service Finnish Meteorological Institute and University of Oulu (Sodankylä Geophysical Observatory) http://aurora.fmi.fi

A browsing system for Finnish auroral photos Ursa Astronomical Association, Finland http://www.taivaanvahti.fi/observations/browse/list/1120892/observation_start_time

The MIRACLE network The Finnish Meteorological Institute, University of Oulu, University of Tromsö, Institute of Geophysics of the Polish Academy of Sciences, Polar Geophysical Institute (Russia), Swedish Institute of Space Physics, Geological Survey of Sweden, University of Tartu, Estonian Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, and National Institute of Astrophysics (Italy) http://space.fmi.fi/MIRACLE

Short summary

We use the connection between auroras and geomagnetic field variations in a concept for a Regional Auroral Forecast (RAF) service. RAF is based on statistical relationships between alerts by the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center and magnetic time derivatives measured by five MIRACLE magnetometer stations located in the surroundings of the Sodankylä research station. As an improvement to previous similar services RAF yields knowledge on typical auroral storm durations at different latitudes.